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Modeling Next-Month Home Depot Growth in Carbon Arc Prisms

October 1, 2026

Home Depot most recent reported earnings on August 18, in the midst of its worst month of the year for credit card spend growth (-3.3% Y/Y). Prisms shows a recovery to -0.9% Y/Y, but adjusting for calendar effects points to +1.1% growth. October’s calendar effects will drive sales growth that month, but if September’s weak exit rate holds spend would decline Y/Y.